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Weekend Thread - April 13th & 14th

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  • Weekend Thread - April 13th & 14th

    Ciovacco:

    https://www.ccmmarketmodel.com/short...thrust-signals

  • #2
    A current Bitcoin price:

    https://www.google.com/search?q=bitc...hrome&ie=UTF-8

    Comment


    • #3
      Fear & greed:

      https://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

      Comment


      • #4

        Venky Srinivasan and Reminiscences of an American Capitalist liked
        Gunjan Banerji‏ @GunjanJS
        7h7 hours ago

        VIX back at October levels

        Comment


        • #5
          USD, stocks:

          https://likesmoneycycletrading.wordpress.com/

          Comment


          • #6
            Jim Grant:

            https://themarket.ch/interview/the-w...-a-crime-ld.85

            Comment


            • #7
              AMZN:

              https://twitter.com/WeeklyOptTrader/...61332437868546

              Comment


              • #8
                LMT978 Retweeted
                William O'Neil + Co.‏ @williamoneilco
                Apr 11

                The stocks that go up the most from where you bought them are your flowers; those that are down from where you bought them are your weeds. If weeds appear, don't hesitate to reach for the trowel. - William J. O'Neil #stocks #investing #quoteoftheday

                Comment


                • #9
                  Investing:

                  https://twitter.com/RedDogT3/status/1116651903591559168

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    Gold/silver ratio another multi year high.

                    http://schrts.co/ZHbejcMY


                    Bullish for silver, hence gold should breakout of its pennant.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      $AUDUSD Weekly: #AUDUSD brokeout even more, now in full ramp mode. Key technical breakout happening just as DXY on the ropes at last key support. A breakdown of USD here will send this pair moving quickly to the upside. Expecting a breakout past 50MA in next month #FX #FOREX

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        $USDCHF Daily: #USDCHF rallied a bit further than some ove the other pairs, but getting close to a wave top (added corrective waves for ref). Usually CHF leads but this time it’s been lagging a bit on this reversal interestingly. Next week key #FOREX #Swiss #Franc #FX

                        Comment


                        • #13


                          $USDCAD Daily: #USDCAD 13MA bearish crossed BC & now approaching 50MA. If 50MA fails on Monday, this pair is at risk of breaking dark blue lower support. MACD/Stochs had aggressive reversal back down today after a pause yesterday. Storm clouds on the horizon #FX #FOREX

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            $EURUSD Daily: #EURUSD finally breaking out past BC & tested 50MA for first time (normal). Typically first try holds, 2nd or 3rd try breaks through. 50MA breakout here should cause a ramp past purple TL resistance to 200MA. MACD/Stochs now in full ramp mode. #EURO #FX #FOREX $EUR

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              $AUDCAD Daily: #AUDCAD digested one day as it needed to and already back to Upper BB . 13MA, 50MA, BC, BBs all curling upward. Looks very healthy here, wave 3 top probably somewhere around ~0.96 before wave 4 breather #AUD $AUD #FX #FOREX

                              Comment


                              • #16


                                Daily #NASDAQ : $COMPQ bullish hammer confirming one last push left to wave 5 top. Stochs levitating as hinted earlier in the week. One last blow off could be in the cards. So far all indications it’s too early to go short, just be patient #NDX #NQ $NDX $NQ $QQQ

                                Comment


                                • #17
                                  $WTIC Weekly: #WTI Blue TL adjusted but same premise applies. Major backtest zone. Stochs starting to flatten out as well. Looking like we are close but won’t know until next weeks reports off for sure if Top is in... next week should be interesting #WTIC $OIL $WTI #oilandgas

                                  Comment


                                  • #18


                                    $WTIC Daily: #WTI topping plateau $62-65 slowly starting to confirm. Today’s inverted hammer rejection of $64 on closing basis. Expect a lot of chop over next few weeks. Couple more rejections needs to make it official but Stochs Looking a lot like last May $CL $OIL $WTI #WTIC

                                    Comment


                                    • #19
                                      Stocks:

                                      https://twitter.com/the_chart_life/s...49434283978752

                                      Comment


                                      • #20


                                        $NVDA weekly doji. Now that is a tight week!

                                        Comment


                                        • #21
                                          $AMZN weekly low probability rising wedge with close above cloud. Earnings April 25

                                          Comment


                                          • #22
                                            $BA close above daily BB testing .50 fib using Multi time frame analysis and Auto Fib #TrendSpider http://chrt.biz/BA/fdky9w/

                                            Comment


                                            • #23
                                              $AAPL Hangman using pattern recognition #TrendSpider http://chrt.biz/AAPL/fdfpw0/

                                              Comment


                                              • #24


                                                $FB engulfing candles using pattern recognition #TrendSpider http://chrt.biz/FB/fdahb9/

                                                Comment


                                                • #25
                                                  Tech:

                                                  https://twitter.com/AdamMancini4/sta...86147367321600

                                                  Comment


                                                  • #26

                                                    We are in a lunar red period now. The next lunar green period starts about April 22nd.

                                                    Comment


                                                    • #27
                                                      The silver chart w that perfect and tight
                                                      Click image for larger version  Name:	20190413_152306.png Views:	1 Size:	88.7 KB ID:	391874

                                                      falling-wedge is stunningly bullish, esp in a cup&handle, strange nobody else on twitter or online seems to notice it.
                                                      Have never seen anything like it, and to be sure I scrolled back to y 2000. In addition I measured yesterday the May contract having grown to 6 cents! in backwardation below spot..

                                                      In addition the days 12-15th of April have been the period of big moves for the PM's 4 times since 2006. In 2006, 2011 and 2016 a sharp spike in silver (&also gold) started on the 14th. In 2013 the huge drop in gold from 1520 to 1320 in 2 days started on April 12th and finished on the next trading day (after the weekend) on the 15th. - - Tomorrow is the 15th..

                                                      So my guess is that silver starting from tomorrow will proceed to that blue line on the chart (~1730) around the 22/23 April (end of the red moon period), then move down towards options expiry the 25th (''max options pain'') to retest that blue trendline at 16.20 (which is also the previous top) - on 25th April. Thereafter up to attain the 18.30 target of the cup and handle sometimes in end of April or beginning of May.

                                                      Gold could possibly break above 1370 during the last 2 days of April or first week of May (just before or after the FOMC meeting and could reach 1500-1520$ by middle of May..
                                                      Last edited by Trond; 04-14-2019, 02:59 PM.

                                                      Comment


                                                      • #28
                                                        The alternate scenario is a short false breakout to the downside starting tomorrow lasting a couple of days and then reversal up to reach those aforementioned targets, something similar to this example from Jan 2011. But that is Click image for larger version  Name:	Screenshot_2019-04-14-20-37-47-1.png Views:	1 Size:	79.3 KB ID:	391876 slightly less likely.

                                                        Comment


                                                        • #29
                                                          SPY:

                                                          http://dragonflycap.com/spy-trends-a...april-13-2019/

                                                          Comment


                                                          • #30
                                                            SPX & oil:

                                                            https://twitter.com/AdamMancini4/sta...75360139419649

                                                            Comment


                                                            • #31

                                                              Stocks:

                                                              https://twitter.com/ThinkTankCharts/...93574879547392

                                                              Comment


                                                              • #32
                                                                https://www.metaoptionsniper.com/pos...-overview-0414 Market Overview 20190414 from Option_Sniper.

                                                                Comment


                                                                • #33
                                                                  Keep It Simple (stupid).

                                                                  Let’s look at this in the simplest terms: according to this [almost] infallible ratio chart Gold is not in a Bull Market. Period. And that won’t change until these two ratio charts change.


                                                                  https://goldtadise.com/wp-content/up...s-04-12-19.png https://goldtadise.com/wp-content/up...t-04-12-19.png https://goldtadise.com/wp-content/up...19-800x554.png


                                                                  Now for the not so bad news: it’s my opinion that the likelyhood of Gold closing below $1045 per ounce is slim to none – and Slim has already left the bar. While I’m predominately a technician, I don’t completely ignore the “funnymentals”. The world is a far different place than is was in the 1980s and 1990s. The US Dollar has nowhere near the foundational strength it once had and the US economy certainly doesn’t. The country is politically polarized to a degree not seen since 1861. The 1960s look almost tame compared to the present. Next year’s election makes it even harder for me to see a continuing bullish outcome for the US Dollar.

                                                                  The ONLY way I see Gold at $800 per ounce is (1) the United States enters a deep deflationary recession/depression, and (2) our “friends” at the Fed lose control without creating many multiple Trillions of “dollars” and buying up everything from bonds to stocks to REITs to used autos. I put the odds of them standing aside while the entire capital market seizes up as pretty close to zero.

                                                                  Could I be wrong? It sure won’t be the first time. I suppose Jeremy Grantham could be wrong (although he called the Bear Markets of 2001-03 and 2008-09) and the S & P 500 continue to chug right along to 3,000 then 3,500 then 4,000 and on and on while interest rates remain repressed and half the country waites tables. While Grantham sees no crash he does see the S & P 500 slowly, slowly deflating over a decade as a rerun of the NIKKEI from 1989-2003.

                                                                  Back to the charts: the 20-month EMA is still above the 200-month EMA, and hasn’t been below it since the Great Gold Bear ended in 1999-2003. However, the turn to the upside could possibly be two to five more years coming.

                                                                  Ugh!

                                                                  Last edited by froll61; 04-14-2019, 11:25 PM.

                                                                  Comment

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