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Weekend Thread - March 30th & 31st

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  • Weekend Thread - March 30th & 31st

    Ciovacco:

    https://www.ccmmarketmodel.com/short...is-coming-soon

  • #2
    (Add you will never beat high speed trading and algos written by MIT Phds with perfect SATs) 8 Reasons Why You Should Never Become A Day Trader https://www.businessinsider.com/reas...ood-pressure-5

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    • #3
      https://e-markets.nordea.com/#!/arti...-new-explosion
      Cross asset volatility: Time for a new explosion?

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      • #4
        http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article64448.html The Coming Stocks Bear Market Will Be Especially Painful for the Boomers

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        • #5
          USD, stocks:

          https://likesmoneycycletrading.wordpress.com/

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          • #6
            Fear & greed:

            https://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

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            • #7
              Parets on stocks:

              https://allstarcharts.com/cards-weve...60a#more-97588

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              • #8
                a new yearly high for the gold silver ratio

                http://schrts.co/KnIxjHCk

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                • #9
                  Has anyone done anything with VVIX index? It's an index that shows the volatility of the VIX based on VIX options. So it shows the volatility of the volatility of the stock market. Just wondering whether anyone's looked at it and tried incorporating it into their trading plan.
                  A human being is part of a whole, called by us the ‘Universe’ —a part limited in time and space. He experiences himself, his thoughts, and feelings, as something separated from the rest—a kind of optical delusion of his consciousness. This delusion is a kind of prison for us... Our task must be to free ourselves from this prison by widening our circles of compassion to embrace all living creatures and the whole of nature in its beauty.”--Albert Einstein

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                  • #10
                    The Insider Trader‏ @AlessioUrban
                    MR. PALLADIUM never lies... @kerberos007

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                    • #11
                      Stocks:

                      https://allstarcharts.com/stuck-unti...ed0#more-97599

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                      • #12
                        VIX, COT high:

                        https://finviz.com/futures_charts.ashx?p=d1&t=VX

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                        • #13
                          VVIX:

                          https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/gallery.html?%24VVIX

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                          • #14
                            UVXY:

                            https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/gallery.html?UVXY

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                            • #15
                              TVIX:

                              https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/gallery.html?TVIX

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                              • #16
                                futures gapping up with 5ma golden cross 10ma on daily chart for ES, but not yet for NQ

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                                • #17
                                  Goldtent member Curly Top posted a great comment on Fully’s fundamentals thread on March 23rd. I had posited whether the US Dollar de-linking from Gold in 1971 and then linking up with Oil in 1974 in the Saudi Petrodollar deal was a sign that the US Dollar could indefinitely maintain its world reserve currency status provided that oil remains the dominant energy commodity. Curly Top’s comment below:

                                  “yes but as someone pointed out to me decades ago, the Middle Eastern price of a barrel of oil is “set” so that roughly 15 barrels = 1 ounce of gold. This “yardstick” is used to determine when either gold or oil is out of whack. For example,at today’s oil price of approx. $65/barrel, we’d expect the price of gold to be about $1000.00. Since that’s not the case, one could argue that oil is too cheap (and why I own it.) OTOH, now that the US is the world’s major oil producer, things may have changed somewhat. In any case, If there’s validity to this theory that oil is actually priced in ounces of gold,and not dollars as it may appear, then gold is still calling the shots, albeit behind the curtains.”

                                  When we plot a long term chart of the GOLD:OIL ratio, we indeed see a key level at 15.0 (1 ounce of Gold equal to 15 barrels of Oil, in agreement with Curly Top’s comment).



                                  The 15.0 level also serves as a rough divider for “secular” market periods. GOLD:OIL maintained above 15.0 in the 1990s, when stock markets were in a secular bull while commodities were in secular bear. The ratio then maintains below the key 15.0 level in the 2000s, when stock markets experienced a secular bear while commodities enjoyed a secular bull.

                                  We also see an unbroken uptrend channel (in pink on the chart) which may relate to the second part of Curly Top’s comment “OTOH, now that the US is the world’s major oil producer, things may have changed somewhat.” Maybe that uptrend channel has become the new game plan as Mr Market prices in the role of the US as the new dominant oil producer, perhaps through increased accessibility and supply which keeps the GOLD:OIL ratio elevated above 15.0. But, as we see from the behavior of the ratio from 1999 into 2000, it only takes the market a couple of months for simple mean reversion to whack the ratio back down to the 15.0 level.

                                  Thanks Curly Top for providing an interesting train of thought to follow! -Harry

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                                  • #18
                                    https://youtu.be/1sDU9ciXAjI GSR Interviews MARTIN ARMSTRONG - March 28, 2019 Nugget

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                                    • #19
                                      $TSLA , a very large falling wedge channel forming on daily/weekly chart across 20-week time frame... last time it happened was almost 3 years ago and it hiked from 180 to 380+ in a few months. bullish engulfing candle on weekly says everything u need know

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                                      • #20
                                        $nvda daily chart almost perfect multiple-layer inverted H&S. weekly chart different ways of drawing - could be rising wedge (black) if fails (also see clear image in clean weekly chart as resisted by upper boll) but if breaks up, it turns to parabolic (blue). monthly volume good




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