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Friday,March 22nd

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  • Friday,March 22nd

    when everything down huge, two names bounced back way faster than all other major names to key Dec 3 level - that's $ba $nflx. now ba in big trouble, but nflx b/o key 366 again. thanks to $aapl event, nflx didn't fly while $msft led & see ATH. now nflx will follow & ATH incoming. Markets are down 0.60%,oil is down 1%,gold is up 4$

  • #2
    Futia:

    http://carlfutia.blogspot.com/

    Comment


    • #3
      Nancy Boots Davison Retweeted
      Carl Futia‏ @CarlFutia
      25m25 minutes ago

      So far the ES has not been able to establish itself above the last top at 2858.75 despite yesterday's big rally which carried above that level. Support today is 2840 and if it holds I think the next swing will carry to 2878-80. But it if fails the ES is likely to drop to 279

      Comment


      • #4
        Fear & greed:

        https://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

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        • #5
          es nq down fast see if es 2837-2841 range can hold. if not, fade even more to 2831 possible...

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          • #6
            mkt panic profit taking as past several days huge run bring in tons profits for bulls

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            • #7
              Like WW2 period, we are seeing huge realignment of the world’s currency system. This time Eurasia powers (not ww2 allies as before) realised they must rebuild the intl. monetary system in preparation for the failure of global US dollar / eurodollar / petrodollar Superbubble

              Comment


              • #8
                Interest rates:

                https://twitter.com/CarolineHydeTV/s...89675053023232

                Comment


                • #9
                  Euro at the moment down 0.7% vs $ at the same time yen up 0.7% vs $! As mentioned, gold follows mainly the yen, + to some degree the Chinese yuan (and not necessarily the dx) whereas silver initially follows the Euro (but ultimately it will follow gold).
                  So yen up huge today, that's why the stockmarket is down. It's the yen-stockmarket carry trade where big money borrow (short) yen to go long stocks. When yen up - they have to cover the shorts, hence now selling stocks.

                  ................................................

                  Reason for the yen stockmarket carry-trade is that it's so cheap to borrow yen, 0 interest rates for decades, even negative + when risk-on - then yen as a safe haven currency drops therefore when risk big money gains in both ends, on stocks up pluss the value of their yen-borrowing debt is simultaneously reduced (+no interests having to be paid).
                  But now the dollar really seems to roll over from its 3.5 months long uptrend vs yen.. Potentially bad for stocks..(but not for the 'yellow metal'--)
                  Last edited by Trond; 03-22-2019, 11:12 AM.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    $GS Weekly: #GS just one day later... amazing what one day can do to technical picture. Break below BC = kiss of death here... #Financials #Banks #Financial #GoldmanSachs

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                    • #11
                      $GS Daily: #GS in trouble here... orange channel support broke... if #goldman is in trouble, Dow is in trouble... #Financials #Banks #Financial

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                      • #12
                        Weekly $W : #Wayfair WelI I’ll be damned.... Who on Earth could have predicted this??! #retail #EcommerceBusiness #online #shopping

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                        • #13
                          $TSLA Daily: short bear flag now completed, next stop green target zone. Lower BB shaped very bearish, price action could catch-up to Lower BB quickly #TSLA #Tesla #electriccars

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                          • #14
                            $XLF Weekly: #XLF massive bearish engulfing weekly candle is even more bearish than daily chart. Close below BC= XLF has always been canary in the coal mine for financial markets. As in previous post, a break of yellow confirms massive bull trap #financials #banks $JPM $GS

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                            • #15
                              $XLF Daily: Gooood Lord that is ugly. I forecasted just 2mdays ago when yellow rising wedge support broke the reaction would be very bearish, played out Textbook Stochs purple resistance steep negative slope = very bearish MACD waterfall ugly too #XLF #financials #banks

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                              • #16
                                $SPX Weekly: #SPX Yeeeesh that’s ugly. SPX did have one last bullish gasp on weekly But Stochs look like they are about to cross over. A red shooting star topping tail that tall usually a bearish omen... again until 13MA fails no conf, but early warning #economy #markets

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                                • #17
                                  $SPX Daily: #SPX 10MA still holding as support for now, until 13MA fails no official bear trigger, however, today’s price action looks very weak, possible sign of exhaustion setting in... Stochs reversed, MACD not yet but should soon #SP500 $ES

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                                  • #18
                                    #Dow Daily: $DOW Blue TL still holding... just saying MACD/Stochs curling bearing agh. Close below 13MA EOD another bearish signal... #economy #DowJones $INDU

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                                    • #19
                                      #Dowjones Theory: #transports way ahead of curve since my feb 27th bear trigger (red arrow). Notice how no new high since (even intraday). This is THE last/final support. I cannot remember the last time I have seen a Stochs centerline reversal #DOW $DJT $Dow $Trans $INDU



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                                      • #20
                                        losing this 2824 is significant for bulls to lock profits - that's partly why we see profit-taking (not loss taking) accelerates in past hr. technically, guaranteed a lower low next week. question is when and how it bounces. if u still have calls, not wise to add but wait to cut.

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                                        • #21
                                          $SPX Daily: #SPX Intraday Update: Jeeez that(13MA breakdown) happened fast... ignore previous tweet.... “hide ya kids, hide ya wife”, run for the hills #SP500 $ES

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                                          • #22
                                            #Dow Weekly: $DOW Large red shooting star on weekly.... That is all ... #Dowjones #economy #bearmarket $DJT

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                                            • #23
                                              $TLT Weekly: #TLT well I was wrong on my last tweet . Showing way more strength, way sooner in the cycle than usual. This sucker is off to the races chasing Upper BB as fast as it will go Equity markets are in trouble... #bonds #treasury #usd $USD #DXY

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                                              • #24
                                                #Boeing Daily: $BA cleaned up the chart & made color coding easier to read (lines the same). Yellow support finally broke, Magenta is last support left. Lower BB skydiving at terminal velocity . A break here is absolutely catastrophic for Dow... #BA #Dowjones

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                                                • #25
                                                  #Facebook Daily: $FB DCB bear flag almost over. 13MA/BC crossed bearish @ 13MA & BC backtest completing as we speak. Usually a bearish confirmation ... let’s see how this plays out #Socialmedia #tech $FANGS $FANG #FB

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                                                  • #26
                                                    $XLU Daily: #XLU days like today prove XLU usually last safe haven for equities. When everything else is down utilities doing strong. Blue TL finally touched & holding as resistance intraday. Could be potential reversal point but way too early to tell... #Utilities

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                                                    • #27
                                                      The stockmarket reversed just as it reached the October crash point. Spx 2870 was the starting point for that first 5% down crash day.
                                                      Not surprising since there are lots of trapped longs just there horrified by the sudden crash and grateful to now at last get out at break-even (had hence anticipated a reversal 10 points higher - at 2870 and not 2860 but still..).
                                                      Same thing happened in May 2010 when the market reached up again to the Sept.-08 crash starting point - that's why the May-10 flash crash immediately thereafter took place--

                                                      In addition the multi month dollar/yen uptrend seems to be rolling over - yen-stocks carry-trade unwinding..

                                                      ...................................

                                                      ''$BA Lower BB skydiving at terminal velocity''
                                                      - -Maybe their anti-stall system failing here also, skydiving the nose down?
                                                      (The system was adapted from the MAX-8 to prevent the stock from going down - with no better luck here, lol..).
                                                      Last edited by Trond; 03-22-2019, 01:48 PM.

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                                                      • #28
                                                        SPX:

                                                        https://twitter.com/LMT978/status/1109041691808411648

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                                                        • #29
                                                          Bob Loukas‏ @BobLoukas
                                                          FollowingFollowing @BobLoukas

                                                          More
                                                          I'm out. Stocks could be done for the Cycle Now. Friday's have ended strong recently, but a close below 2,817 is a confirmed swing high. #stock $SPY $QQQ

                                                          Comment


                                                          • #30
                                                            Originally posted by froll61 View Post
                                                            Lower BB skydiving at terminal velocity! A break here is absolutely catastrophic for Dow...
                                                            ]
                                                            Boeing is so hosed! The MCAS system... what were they thinking?! Here are a few of my thoughts...

                                                            1) Does the reliability of the AOA sensor suck or what? Why have two AOA sensors failed on new airplanes in less than 5 months? 2) Why did Lion Air let that plane take off again after the 3rd pilot saved the day, why didn't they fix the sensor? (The Lion Air airplane that crashed had a screwed up AOA sensor on its flight just before the fatal one, and on that one a 3rd off-duty pilot sitting in the jump seat behind and between the pilot and the co-pilot told the crew how to save the airplane.) 3) Why didn't the 3rd pilot talk to the pilots of the doomed Lion Air flight before they took off and tell them what they had to do to save the airplane if they encountered a similar situation? 4) After Boeing figured out what caused the Lion Air crash, why didn't Boeing issue an emergency bulletin flashing red to inform 737 MAX pilots of what they need to do in the event of a faulty AOA sensor causing MCAS to put the plane in a dive? This could have prevented the Ethiopia crash. 5) There are TWO AOA sensors on the plane. Why does MCAS take a reading from only ONE of them? 6) Why doesn't MCAS take a reading from the AOA sensor during the taxi on the runway and make sure it reads zero degrees? (and if it doesn't read zero degrees, then issue a warning, telling the pilots to return to the gate and fix the damn sensor!) 7) Why was MCAS designed to continue to nose down the plane after the pilots overrode it? Once the pilots overrode MCAS, it should have shut itself down for the remainder of the flight.

                                                            2 planes destroyed, more than 350 people killed, and now Boeing looks to lose more than a few future orders because of this. Penny wise and Pound foolish...

                                                            https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-N...9011553246144/



                                                            A human being is part of a whole, called by us the ‘Universe’ —a part limited in time and space. He experiences himself, his thoughts, and feelings, as something separated from the rest—a kind of optical delusion of his consciousness. This delusion is a kind of prison for us... Our task must be to free ourselves from this prison by widening our circles of compassion to embrace all living creatures and the whole of nature in its beauty.”--Albert Einstein

                                                            Comment


                                                            • #31
                                                              The jig is up. The Fed surrenders with the white flag. This economy has never been a "real" recovery. The market finally now knows it.

                                                              No matter what the Fed does; cut rates or restarts QE. This market is going to hell.

                                                              I am going to speculate the panic will commence around July and then all hell breaks loose in October.

                                                              Comment


                                                              • #32
                                                                https://www.zerohedge.com/news/2019-...ession-warning

                                                                ''On six occasions over the past 50 years when the three-month yield exceeded that of the 10-year, [as has just happened today] economic recession invariably followed, commencing an average of 311 days after the initial signal.''

                                                                Comment


                                                                • #33
                                                                  Originally posted by pimaCanyon View Post

                                                                  Boeing is so hosed! The MCAS system... what were they thinking?! Here are a few of my thoughts...

                                                                  1) Does the reliability of the AOA sensor suck or what? Why have two AOA sensors failed on new airplanes in less than 5 months? 2) Why did Lion Air let that plane take off again after the 3rd pilot saved the day, why didn't they fix the sensor? (The Lion Air airplane that crashed had a screwed up AOA sensor on its flight just before the fatal one, and on that one a 3rd off-duty pilot sitting in the jump seat behind and between the pilot and the co-pilot told the crew how to save the airplane.) 3) Why didn't the 3rd pilot talk to the pilots of the doomed Lion Air flight before they took off and tell them what they had to do to save the airplane if they encountered a similar situation? 4) After Boeing figured out what caused the Lion Air crash, why didn't Boeing issue an emergency bulletin flashing red to inform 737 MAX pilots of what they need to do in the event of a faulty AOA sensor causing MCAS to put the plane in a dive? This could have prevented the Ethiopia crash. 5) There are TWO AOA sensors on the plane. Why does MCAS take a reading from only ONE of them? 6) Why doesn't MCAS take a reading from the AOA sensor during the taxi on the runway and make sure it reads zero degrees? (and if it doesn't read zero degrees, then issue a warning, telling the pilots to return to the gate and fix the damn sensor!) 7) Why was MCAS designed to continue to nose down the plane after the pilots overrode it? Once the pilots overrode MCAS, it should have shut itself down for the remainder of the flight.

                                                                  2 planes destroyed, more than 350 people killed, and now Boeing looks to lose more than a few future orders because of this. Penny wise and Pound foolish...

                                                                  https://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-N...9011553246144/


                                                                  I am sure if the FBI does its job, we will find a lot more dirt under the hood. Boeing and the FAA is 100% responsible. Dead stock walking.

                                                                  Comment


                                                                  • #34
                                                                    Originally posted by james rangel View Post

                                                                    I am sure if the FBI does its job, we will find a lot more dirt under the hood. Boeing and the FAA is 100% responsible. Dead stock walking.
                                                                    they've already found this: Boeing originally told the FAA in the design for MCAS that the max it would adjust the horizontal stabilizer would be 0.6 degrees. Flight testing revealed that they needed to up that max to 2 degrees. So they did that, but they did not inform the FAA of that change. Also, the FAA turned over much of the certification process to Boeing itself. Apparently this is common practice mainly because FAA doesn't have the budget to do the full cert with FAA staff.

                                                                    At least one pilot referred to MCAS as a "kluge" which indeed it is. Boeing stretched the 737 beyond anything it had done before, put on larger engines and now with the larger engines, when you give it full power the engines tend to lever the plane up into a stall position which is why they came up with MCAS which noses down the plane before it goes into a full blown stall. That seems like a kluge to me. There's a structural problem with the plane and they are "fixing it" with software?! The real fix would be to design a plane that won't go into a stall when you apply full power to the engines. But that's a whole new airplane which takes years from design to first flight, certification, and delivery, and Boeing's 737 MAX was done quickly in order to compete with Airbus which has a plane in this size range. Boeing sold the MAX based on more fuel efficient engines and NO TRAINING REQUIRED for pilots who already fly 737's (cost savings all around for airlines already flying 737's). They didn't even mention MCAS in the original flight manuals. ack!!

                                                                    Boeing is a big company. They will survive this. But I have no idea where the stock will be trading when all the 737 MAX dust settles.
                                                                    Last edited by pimaCanyon; 03-22-2019, 04:05 PM.
                                                                    A human being is part of a whole, called by us the ‘Universe’ —a part limited in time and space. He experiences himself, his thoughts, and feelings, as something separated from the rest—a kind of optical delusion of his consciousness. This delusion is a kind of prison for us... Our task must be to free ourselves from this prison by widening our circles of compassion to embrace all living creatures and the whole of nature in its beauty.”--Albert Einstein

                                                                    Comment


                                                                    • #35
                                                                      Boeing, too big to fail too? Nah can't be !

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                                                                      • #36
                                                                        NYMO:

                                                                        https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/gallery.html?%24NYMO

                                                                        Comment


                                                                        • #37
                                                                          NAMO:

                                                                          https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/gallery.html?%24NAMO

                                                                          Comment


                                                                          • #38
                                                                            Bitcoin:

                                                                            https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/g....html?%24NYXBT

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                                                                            • #39
                                                                              S&P 500:

                                                                              https://twitter.com/RyanDetrick/stat...97930232201223

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