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  • Monday,January 7th,Orthodox (Greek)Christmas.

    Markets are flat,gold is up 6$,oil is up1.3%. ES NQ weekly 5ma still downwards so need a big hike to pull it up otherwise technically mkt see a hike followed by a bigger fade this week possible.

    Last edited by froll61; 01-07-2019, 11:12 AM.

  • #2
    Futia:

    http://carlfutia.blogspot.com/

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    • #3
      Fear & greed:

      https://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

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      • #4
        A possibility:

        https://twitter.com/ThinkTankCharts/...52789683306496

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        • #5
          • Got a few QQQ158$11 JAN CALLS at 10.20am,small and very short term gamble.

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          • #6
            $amzn $nflx both hiking huge this morning. their daily and weekly chart tell all you need to know about how high this technical move can reach. $googl $fb both very weak today but could be next in line. $tsla super strong on REAL news. 331 already powered through $nvda set up BIG

            Comment


            • #7
              Bob Loukas
              More
              Nice follow through from #stocks. We're in a new Weekly Cycle so i expect most of January to be strong. What happens around Mid to late Feb is (potentially) a larger problem.

              Last edited by froll61; 01-07-2019, 12:09 PM.

              Comment


              • #8
                MrMiyagi‏ @MrMiyagann 17m17 minutes ago

                $NYMO at +98. Last time we saw such an aggressive move after massive decline was at the end of 2016's crude-induced short-lived 13% $SPX drop. At the time $WTIC had tested $26 in January and February before turning up for the rest of 2016 $USO $IWM $SPY $IWM $RUT $QQQ $NDX $DIA

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                • #9
                  so I'm thinking they grind it up to the "everyone is bullish again" zone, then the next shoe drops

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                  • #10
                    $SPX Daily: #SPX getting close to target zone as Upper BB is in free fall. Small breach of 50MA can happen as a headfake or trap so be on the lookout for that ...

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                    • #11
                      #Dow Daily: $DOW #Dowjones chugging right along... #economy #markets

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                      • #12
                        $VIX Daily/Weekly: #VIX continuing it pullback to Daily 200MA (Green Circle). Weekly also pulling back to 50MA. Keep an eye out for hammer Doji either this week or next off 17.20-17.63 level. Stoichs will hit my green target zone exactly tomorrow $VXX #VXX



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                        • #13
                          #DXY MACRO: Monthly $USD magenta resistance w/ rapidly falling Upper BB is proving too much (as warned last post). Last time DXY entered cyan Consolidation phase, retracement to 50MA happened (even overshoot), which is now @ 93.36 currently. Stoichs rolling #USD $DXY #Dollar

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                          • #14
                            $XLK Daily: #XLK has 1-2 days left before it hits upper purple bear channel resistance TL. *IF* that purple TL holds... get out of Dodge ASAP #Technology #Tech

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                            • #15
                              $XLE Daily: #XLE nailed target zone. Keep an eye out for potential reversal in next 48 hours. Might even clip 50MA w/ a shooting star doji so use caution ahead. *IF* it does reverse here, extremely bearish $OIL $WTI #WTIC #oilandgas #crudeoil

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                              • #16
                                https://goldtadise.com/?p=438584 Gold exploration

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                                • #17
                                  https://spockg.com Deflation -Risk strategy

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                                  • #18
                                    A must READ REPORT for investor in Exploration sector.
                                    This report was written when Gold’s real price ( ratio of Gold to commodity index,(Gold/CRB) bottom in 2006–2007. Since then Gold’s real price has been trending higher and lately has broken out to a multi year high.

                                    All important stars are aligned for a long trend change in PM sector.

                                    A historic account of the relationship between market (boom-bust) cycle and the credits:
                                    Credit spread ; Yield spread; and Gold’s real price.

                                    061222-GOLD-EXPLORATION

                                    Some snipet from the report:

                                    “The role of gold’s real price and the exploration sector is to meet an extraordinary increase in investment demand for gold that typically follows an era of remarkable credit expansion.”

                                    “Once the era of asset inflation exhausted itself, typically gold’s real price increased for some twenty years. One explanation is that during the leveraged manias, reckless borrowing and equally reckless lending expands credit to an unsustainable level. ”

                                    ” Other than the exhaustion of speculative momentum, key determinants have been a turn to widening of credit spreads as market forces begin to ration the availability of credit for speculation. ”

                                    “Typically, the height of a mania is accompanied by speculative demand for credit driving short-dated rates up relative to long-dated bonds. Just as typically, the end of speculation is marked by the reversal of the yield curve to steepening. On this, treasury bill rates decline in yield as long rates increase. ”

                                    “Also, in each of these, gold’s real price turned up and initiated a lengthy bull market for the gold sector. Within this, the exploration sector provided outstanding performance. ”

                                    “With these, it is evident that the gold exploration sector moves more directly with changes in gold’s real price rather than with the nominal price. Very few researchers have been using gold’s real price so the link from this to market participants remains curious, but it works.”

                                    ” this appears to be making a cyclical low for our gold/commodities index has been accomplished and conditions in the credit markets are similar to those that typically anticipate a cyclical increase in the investment demand. This could inspire all aspects of the gold mining industry. For investors who can handle today’s relative illiquidity in the exploration sector, the risk/reward opportunities are outstanding”

                                    If you are convinced that it is time for better risk/reward in exploration stock than best place to find these investments is Spock’s site:

                                    https://spockg.com/

                                    Some current charts:

                                    Gold’s Real price monthly chart, Gold’s real price vs exploration etf, GOEX, Gold’s real price (gold/CNX) ve credit spread (IEF/HYG) and yield spread vs HUI, Gold/CRB: Having difficulty posting here.

                                    May post in a new post.

                                    Comment


                                    • #19
                                      spx up. comp up. but dow just "so so" compared with spx comp. BUT keep in mind WMT today b/o upside consolidation channel and moved up. see if it can test daily 50ma tmr. if wmt good AND ba follows, DOW gonna up big tmr - pushing spx comp for another higher high. then likely fade

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                                      • #20

                                        Harald Malmgren‏ @Halsrethink 11h11 hours ago

                                        More
                                        Harald Malmgren Retweeted

                                        I can strongly recommend Jonathan Tepper's The Myth of Capitalism, opening our minds to see steep decline in competition in America in recent years&growing concentration of economic power in fewer&fewer hands in oligarchies with similarities to those in Russia&China https://twitter.com/JulietteJDI/status/1082185484401631233 …

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                                        • #21
                                          https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/ar...spells-trouble China has a dollar debt addiction.

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                                          • #22
                                            $JPM Daily: #JPM May be stealing here as well at Blue TL / orange target. If backtest of previous support as resistance holds. One word: Ugly #Financials #Banks #XLF $XLF

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                                            • #23
                                              $TSLA Daily: #TSLA filled up my orange target circle completely today right up to BC. If BC holds tomorrow could be a bearish development just after a 13/50MA cross. If so, rapid succession of bearish 13/50 & 50/200MA crosses could happen quickly (green TL failure) #tesla

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                                              • #24
                                                $TLT Weekly: #TLT pulled back later last week followed by red candle so far this week. What would have been a bullish rip may actually be a consolidation period similar to early 2016 (cyan). Could be choppy for a bit here as Fed pauses & etc... #bonds #treasury #usd $USD #DXY

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                                                • #25
                                                  #Biotech WEEKLY: $IBB already in Orange target too. Could pop a little higher intraweek, but charts sending red flag signals. Trough to peak exactly 18pts in just 3 weeks, a retreat here could pull 50 low enough to make topping tail a touch. Lower BB WAAAY Lower #IBB $XBI

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                                                  • #26
                                                    #GOOGL Daily: $GOOGL nailed orange target perfectly, even putting in a bearish red could be a very bearish sign, but need 1-2 more days for confirmation. Watch purple TL like a hawk, any shooting star or narrow spinning top Doji considered a red flag $GOOG #GOOG #Google #tech

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                                                    • #27
                                                      $WTIC Weekly: #WTI literally called this exact scenario on Fri. #Crude #Oil is in serious jeopardy if today’s high holds into Weds report & is bearish. Still early on weekly candle so not confirmed until Friday, but if orange holds, poss $42 retest/failure next #WTIC $OIL $WTI

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                                                      • #28


                                                        $WTIC Daily: #WTI formed almost a perfect $50 shooting star backtest. I warned last week about this potential scenario and it’s bearish implications; *IF* tomorrow is a red candle $CL is calling the stock markets bluff and implying much more pain ahead... $WTI #Crude $OIL #WTIC

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                                                        • #29
                                                          $EURUSD Daily (Alternate): #EURUSD There she goes...13/50MA bullish cross about to happen, Upper BB curling more bullish, Stoichs in a bull channel, MACD breakout out above centerline, RSI still muted. Looks ripe for a rip to 200MA/magenta (especially as DXY rolls) #FX #FOREX

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                                                          • #30
                                                            #NATGAS Daily: $NATGAS magenta support TL still holding for now... it is a possibility that this may just trade flat into thurs/friday until market makers let in pop after weekend most likely. MACD/Stoichs both very oversold so rally should start by next week $UGAZ $DGAZ $UNG

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                                                            • #31
                                                              $USD Daily : #USD now in the green circle target zone. Made the circles even smaller just because it’s obvious where they are going to touch exactly now. Remains to be seen if we get a 4 day consolidation like Sept or if this is in fact a bearish break... #DXY $DXY #FX #forex

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                                                              • #32
                                                                Weekly $GOLD: zoomed in version of yesterday chart. Getting very close to the 2011 7 YR resistance TL. Last weeks shooting star was purely because of Upper BB (which is different than a true shooting star (important distinction). #GOLD still pushing Upper BB higher #GC $GC

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                                                                • #33
                                                                  So far, so good. /ES

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                                                                  • #34
                                                                    If these are to continue higher, a healthy correction of 30% to 50% of their bounces would be expected soon. Crazy talk as nothing in this market has been healthy for a long time. Day #2 of the FASP Max-Drool Extreme Dead Cat Bounce Extreme (MDEDCBE) Many of these names are now up over 30% to 50% off their Mnuchin Massacre lows. Will it produce a day #3?

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                                                                    • #35
                                                                      NYMO:

                                                                      https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/gallery.html?%24NYMO

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                                                                      • #36
                                                                        NAMO:

                                                                        https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/gallery.html?%24NAMO

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                                                                        • #37
                                                                          Bitcoin:

                                                                          https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/g....html?%24NYXBT

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                                                                          • #38
                                                                            A current Bitcoin price:

                                                                            https://www.worldcoinindex.com/coin/bitcoin

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                                                                            • #39
                                                                              Miners:

                                                                              https://likesmoneycycletrading.wordpress.com/

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                                                                              • #40
                                                                                USD:

                                                                                https://kimblechartingsolutions.com/...ullish-metals/

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                                                                                • #41
                                                                                  Poly:

                                                                                  https://twitter.com/BobLoukas/status...16599435493379

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