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Weekend Thread - November 10th & 11th

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  • Weekend Thread - November 10th & 11th

    Ciovacco:

    https://www.ccmmarketmodel.com/short...actals-flipped

  • #2
    NYMO:

    https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/gallery.html?%24NYMO

    Comment


    • #3
      NAMO:

      https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/gallery.html?%24NAMO

      Comment


      • #4
        Bitcoin:

        https://stockcharts.com/freecharts/g....html?%24NYXBT

        Comment


        • #5
          A current Bitcoin price:

          https://www.worldcoinindex.com/coin/bitcoin

          Comment


          • #6
            Fear & greed:

            \\https://money.cnn.com/data/fear-and-greed/

            Comment


            • #7
              USD, stocks:

              https://likesmoneycycletrading.wordpress.com/

              Comment


              • #8
                Momentum:

                https://kimblechartingsolutions.com/...st-bull-trend/

                Comment


                • #9
                  Stocks:

                  https://kimblechartingsolutions.com/...ida-elections/

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    https://www.rt.com/shows/keiser-repo...ade-war-china/ China is a big trade was looser.The next 15 mins more interesting to listen to.

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      single most important theory since 1980s is concept of Competitive Advantage proposed by Michael Porter @ Harvard. It's driving force of $GE leading 20 yrs then $GOOGL $MSFT $AMZN $AAPL leading after. Now time for industrial economists to figure out sth new for next decade.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        bad thing about competitive advantage framework is that it isolates companies from building alliance for sustainable growth & mkt leadership. that's why GE dying & new tech companies slowing down now. a NEW theory needs to recognize cooperation instead of industrial individualism

                        Comment


                        • #13


                          trade deal can be "double-edged sword". good for export rebalancing. bad for economic structure re-structuring. 2019 was supposed to be yr of this restructuring but if trade deal comes true, restructuring not gonna happen. trade deal never gonna help tech, which is DRIVER of mkt.


                          Comment


                          • #14
                            Back in 2014, I predicted that we would see another major financial crisis in 2019. Then it started to look like the timeline may postpone to fall 2021 coz of new tech bull run. BUT now with all political uncertainties AND tech slow down, feel again 2019 could be VERY dangerous.

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              ONLY hope for 2019 not turning into financial crisis is Powell and the Fed see the problem - our economy is TOO HOT and our industry structures not advanced enough to support it. But looks like Powell & Fed totally ignorant of current status quo. Not good signal. They gonna pay.

                              Comment


                              • #16
                                I said this 3 yrs ago this mkt bull run is led by big techs $fb $aapl $amzn $nflx $googl $msft $nvda coz of new tech revolution. Now we are on the edge of a NEW transition to sth diff coz profit margin & mkt share all diff out of it. This is like premium rebalancing in options.

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                                • #17


                                  BTW, $googl $amzn both at 800 before a huge upside move. BUT AMZN to 2000 googl only to 1300. Then AMZN drop to 1500, googl to 1000. Very clear - googl up less but drop more in %. Biz ecosystem, regulatory policy, product portfolio all very different BUT end of day it’s CEO diff.


                                  Comment


                                  • #18
                                    $googl FIRST time in three years we see weekly forward cloud dead cross. 50/60ma already failed support, 100ma supported so far. but this is definitely not an exciting name for long-term share holders. CEO is stupid without vision. be VERY careful.

                                    Comment


                                    • #19
                                      $amzn supported by 50&60ma on weekly chart. BUT expecting 2-3 months of ups and downs till it hits weekly chart cloud top for support. Then let’s see what happens.

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                                      • #20
                                        $TSLA no need to draw anything on this beautiful weekly chart. for stock holders, just enjoy the ride and eyes on the sky for fireworks.

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                                        • #21
                                          $NVDA this is “historical” moment as it’s FIRST time in five years that we are gonna see forward cloud dead cross on weekly chart. IF er shows any slow-down, dive to 160-170 range easily. if er good, gonna reverse cloud decline. respect trend & don’t gamble.

                                          Comment


                                          • #22
                                            ok enough for my Saturday morning twit storm. hopefully not causing confusions but instead helping you all understand my macro views about the mkt and everything. my golden rule #1 for trading is always this - trade on FACTS, not emotions. enjoy the beautiful weekend all friends!

                                            Comment


                                            • #23
                                              https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DrklH81WoAE6tlm.jpg SELL signal being triggered in Silver despite COT report.P.Brandt.

                                              Comment


                                              • #24
                                                Peter Brandt‏Verified account @PeterLBrandt
                                                FollowingFollowing @PeterLBrandt

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                                                Increasingly markets are where AIs, HFTs and quants pick each others' pockets. The odds against retail day traders are overwhelming and consistent profitability for retail day traders is a 2σ event

                                                Comment


                                                • #25
                                                  Oil:

                                                  https://twitter.com/TommyThornton/st...25529128738817

                                                  Comment


                                                  • #26
                                                    Originally posted by froll61 View Post
                                                    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DrklH81WoAE6tlm.jpg SELL signal being triggered in Silver despite COT report.P.Brandt.
                                                    Yes, let's see what happens today in metals. Was last Friday a gap fill or a potential run down on metals?

                                                    Comment


                                                    • #27
                                                      SPY:

                                                      https://twitter.com/brian95123/statu...62210215616512
                                                      Last edited by Jim; 11-11-2018, 08:06 PM.

                                                      Comment


                                                      • #28
                                                        Fahmy:

                                                        https://joefahmy.com/2018/11/10/week...video-11-10-18

                                                        Comment


                                                        • #29
                                                          https://goldtadise.com/wp-content/up...ked1140_LI.jpg

                                                          looks like a H/S top with a target of 16.00

                                                          that places Gold at 1140

                                                          That should be a multi year bottom

                                                          aka buy like your $ is on fire at that point


                                                          Comment


                                                          • #30
                                                            SILVER.....Wow the long term chart is instructive. On the dollar “collapse from 1985-1987 silver doubled from $4.87 to $9.89 but never made it above $10. It outperformed gold from 1985-87 but only just since gold went from about $280 to $500 (less than a double) but overall way underperformed gold in the bear market since in that $$$ weakness was still 80% down from the $50 high at under $10.
                                                            I still wonder if we will see either $890 gold 61.8% retracement of the bull market move (this would also equal the 21 January 1980 futures price high in gold) or $680 gold (2008 low). The equivalent low for silver would be $8.40 in that case (2008 low).
                                                            I mean maybe we are being too pessimistic here but who knows? Last week’s closes were atrocious.

                                                            Comment


                                                            • #31
                                                              Furthermore, I don’t really think that the upcoming dollar bear market is going to see much of a downmove in the US$.
                                                              I mean not like the plummet form 160 to 85 in 1985-87, which wan’t nearly enough to see much positive action in godl and silver. If you look at gold in German Marks it did nothing from 1985-87. The gold strength from 1985-87 was merely a US dollar weakness illusion.
                                                              So if the US dollar has a fairly mild bear market this time (let’s say it goes to 80 from the 103 peak – or even to 70) that is nothing like the 1985-87 drop.
                                                              In that case don’t hold your breath for new highs in gold or silver on the next USD bear, due from now to 2024ish. Maybe have to wait for the 2032-2040 bear in the $$$.

                                                              Comment


                                                              • #32
                                                                If it was to be a “typical” H&S measure move, the height of the head from the neckline is 49/11 or a factor of 4.5. Taking the neckline now around 15, the target would be …. $3.37 but it’s an upward sloping neckline so given time it won’t be that low.

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                                                                • #33
                                                                  Its not the price that this chart is projecting so much as the time ! That is one sad chart.$9 .

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